What Is +EV and Why It Matters for Betting on PrizePicks, Underdog, and More
If you’re serious about winning long-term in the world of player props, there’s one concept you need to master: +EV, short for Positive Expected Value.
This isn’t just a buzzword — it’s the math behind smart betting. And at PropsMadeEasy.com, our tools are built to help you find +EV plays faster and easier than ever before.
🔍 What Does +EV Mean?
+EV (Positive Expected Value) means you’re making a bet that, over time, is statistically expected to return a profit.
You won’t win every pick — that’s betting. But when you’re consistently placing +EV plays, you’re stacking the odds in your favor over the long run.
🧠 The Simple Math Behind +EV
Here’s the formula:
EV = (Win Probability × Profit) – (Loss Probability × Loss)
If the result is positive, you’re betting with an edge.
If it’s negative, you’re betting against the math.
📈 Real-World Example (Using PrizePicks or Underdog)
Let’s say a player’s line is:
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Over/Under 5.5 Rebounds
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Our data shows they go over 5.5 rebounds 65% of the time
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PrizePicks pays 3x on 2-pick entries (equivalent to +200 odds)
✅ You choose the Over 5.5 rebounds.
Let’s plug it in:
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Win Prob: 65%
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Loss Prob: 35%
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Profit if win: $200
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Loss if lose: $100
EV = (0.65 × 200) – (0.35 × 100)
EV = 130 – 35 = $95
That’s a +EV play with a strong edge.
🔴 Bad Example: -EV Play
Now imagine you bet on a player hitting Over 3.5 Assists, but the data shows they only hit that line 45% of the time.
EV = (0.45 × 200) – (0.55 × 100)
EV = 90 – 55 = $35
Not terrible, but once you stack multiple low-probability legs, your entry becomes -EV fast.
💡 What Actually Makes a Bet +EV?
To simplify, a play is +EV when:
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✅ Your probability of winning > the implied odds
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✅ Trusted projections agree with the pick
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✅ The sportsbook or platform line is mispriced
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✅ You’re not guessing — you’re using data
🔧 How PropsMadeEasy.com Finds +EV Picks for You
At PropsMadeEasy.com, we’ve built powerful tools that do all the hard work for you:
✅ Consensus Projections vs Book Lines
We compare the most trusted player projections on the market to real-time sportsbook lines and platform props (PrizePicks, Underdog, Sleeper, etc.).
✅ EV % Automatically Calculated
Every pick shows its EV% — so you can spot high-value bets at a glance.
✅ Projection and EV Must Agree
We filter out noise. You only see picks where the projection and expected value are on the same side.
✅ The 70/5 Club
We spotlight plays that have:
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70%+ hit rate
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5%+ EV
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Historical accuracy at that line
Only elite plays make it in.
✅ Mobile-First, Lightning Fast
No spreadsheets. No fluff. Just log in, scroll, and grab the best plays in seconds — even from your phone.
🎯 Final Takeaway
+EV betting isn’t a hack. It’s how the sharpest bettors win consistently.
With PropsMadeEasy.com, you don’t need to be a math wizard. Just follow the edge, use the tools, and let the numbers work for you.
📥 Ready to Start Hitting +EV Picks Daily?
Join the thousands of bettors using PropsMadeEasy.com to find profitable props, dominate PrizePicks and Underdog, and build real betting bankrolls.
👉 Start Winning Smarter – Try PropsMadeEasy.com Now
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